Analysis: The Three-Tier Battle Between Cubs, Brewers, and Cardinals
At mid-July, the National League Central (NL Central) standings are hotter than ever. The Chicago Cubs lead with a record of 57-39, but the Milwaukee Brewers (56-40) are breathing down their necks, just one game away. And don’t forget, the St. Louis Cardinals, with their spectacular comeback streak (51-46), are threatening to take the top spot if the top two slip up.
Cubs: “Defensive Beasts” + The Return of Expectations
Under the guidance of Coach Craig Counsell, the Cubs are playing clean and efficient baseball. They have a bullpen that is among the top 5 in the league, with breakthroughs from Justin Steele, Christopher Morel, and clutch plays from Seiya Suzuki.
Many analysts like Ken Rosenthal (The Athletic) and Jon Heyman (MLB Network) consider the Cubs to be the “best defensive team in the NL Central,” and they have the depth to make a run in the postseason—if they can keep up this momentum.
Brewers: The Silent Predator
Don’t let their one-game record fool you—the Brewers are a formidable force. They have a significant home-field advantage, a lurking style of play, and often explode in the second half of the season. Christian Yelich is returning to MVP form, and a group of young pitchers like Robert Gasser and Aaron Ashby are bringing a breath of fresh air.
Cardinals: A Real Threat From a “Clinically Dead” Team
After a disastrous start to the season, which seemed to be out of the running, the Cardinals have transformed. A boost from Adam Wainwright, who is back as co-owner and spiritual figure, is turning Busch Stadium into a fortress.
Stars Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt are in form, while rookie Masyn Winn has impressed. If they keep this up, don’t be surprised if they crack the top two in the next three weeks.
Who will be the “King of the Central”?
With the Cubs and Brewers split thinly, and the Cardinals surging, the NL Central is shaping up to be MLB’s hottest division.
There’s no room for error. Every hit, every mound can decide not just a game—but an entire season.
The upcoming schedule is crucial. The Cubs face tough series against the Giants and Braves. The Brewers can pull away if they can capitalize on their series against the Pirates and Reds, while the Cardinals face the Mets, Rockies, and Padres—all of whom are strong enough to get them going.